Saturday, December 17, 2011

My Rebuttal To Some Of The Arguments Against Global Climate Change

American Policy Roundtable has a list of 8 arguments against global warming. And this is my blog post ripping them apart.

1. "Most scientists do not believe human activities threaten to disrupt the Earth's climate." There is a petition of 17,000 scientists that rejects the idea that there is scientific evidence that greenhouse gases is causing a disruption of Earth's climate.

My Response: How many of them were climatologists? Or at least in a field qualified to have an opinion?

2. "Our most reliable sources of temperature data show no global warming trend." The site then goes on to to spew out statistics of satellite readings for the past 23 years.

My Response: 23 years is not enough time to make conclusions. It doesn't include a pre-indestrial state for comparison. The ice core data normally cited is reliable.

3. Global climate computer models are too crude to predict future climate changes. Predictions of global warming are based on models, not historical data.


My response: That is incorrect. Before a model is used to actually make predictions, it is calibrated using historical data. Also, models don't predict what will exactly happen, but can predict a trend. Predicting the climate is different than predicting next week's weather.


4. The IPCC did not prove that human activities are causing global warming.

My response:  First of all, you can never "prove" anything. You can however, have a lot of evidence to suggest something. And the IPCC summarizes research by scientists, which the overwhelming majority of are finding that the extra CO2 in the atmosphere is from human activity.


5. A modest amount of global warming should it occur, would be beneficial to the natural world and to human civilization.

My response: Sure, warmer temperatures are nice, and so is expanding the range of some animals. But for others, they are unable to cope with the dramatic changes and die. Loss of biodiversity and ecosystem functioning would be catastrophic. Increases in extreme weather events would also be catastrophic.


6. Efforts to quickly reduce human greenhouse gas emissions would be costly and would not stop Earth's climate from changing. This would require higher energy taxes, cause a loss of jobs. Full implementation of the Kyoto Protocol would only reduce the global temperature by .14 degrees Celsius.

My Response: Yes, it would be costly. And it wouldn't stop the climate from changing, but help to slow it down.But the alternative to doing nothing would be even more costly. And how did you come up with the .14 degrees Celsius? A model probably. But didn't you say those were unreliable?


7. Efforts by state governments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are even more expensive and threaten to bust state budgets." States face a deficit in spending, and these programs to reduce greenhouse gases have no effect and destroy jobs.

My response: Where's the data to support that the programs don't work? New jobs should be created to in developing green technology.


8. The best strategy is "no regrets." The best plan is to do more scientific research and reduce emissions in the future if the science becomes compelling.


My response:  Meanwhile, as we make sure that global climate change is actual happening, the damage increases and it becomes harder to reverse. Yeah, that sounds like a great plan.


For more on arguments against global warming, , here is a great site explaining the science behind why they are incorrect.

3 comments:

  1. David Colombini4:21 PM

    I'd like to add to number 5 that warmer oceans will increase hurricane strength and frequency, plus a longer hurricane season (that's just here in the US, let alone Earth). People in NJ were concerned about Irene? That's nothing to what people get in Florida, and their water is around 80 degrees, where our part of the Atlantic in NJ is at least 30 degrees cooler. Warmer waters call for stronger, larger, and longer-living hurricanes (They average about a week's long life span now).

    Plus the temperature change will alter plant life due to their blooming tendencies; Plants don't have brains. They react through physical and chemical stimuli like heat and light. Climate change will throw them off course too. What will that mean for our good ol' corn commodities? If it gets too hot for certain plants, they'll die.

    ...I think I should stop there. I'm borderline essay-writing now.

    ReplyDelete
  2. This whole climate change nonsense is getting out of hand. Then again, I don't think things are not going to drastically change within the next five or even ten years. Perhaps not even in our lifetime.

    But yes we are starting to see things take shape now, as David had mentioned with the hurricanes, we've certainly seen a difference within the last decade or so.

    Even in sedimentary records (because I don't know much about ice cores) you can see the affects of global climate change on ocean temperatures, atmosphere, etc. And while I would love to spew forth a plethora of information about that topic it would just be too much and get me/us no where.

    Let's face it... Climate change sucks. It's gonna happen. Can we slow it down? Maybe... Maybe not. But isn't it worth a try? People need to start looking at the bigger picture.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Yeah, I agree, that the worst things probably won't happen in our lifetime. I'm concerned about the future. It's selfish to continue damaging the environment for the future generations.

    ReplyDelete